Difficult
Volanesorsen Panel
The highlight of the week certainly was the Advisory Committee on Volanesorsen (VLN; commercial name WAYLIVRA) for the treatment of Familial Chylomicronemia Syndrome (FCS) hypertriglyceridemia. Here, the FDA, experts in the field, and sponsor Akcea Therapeutics were struggling to assess the risk:benefit of the ApoCIII-targeting phosphorothioate antisense gapmer. I had previewed the panel
here.
While following a very strict diet can be a
powerful risk mitigator in FCS, it greatly affects quality of life and alone
cannot absolve patients from the risk of pancreatitis attacks, abdominal pain
and a range of other morbidities related to having very high triglyceride levels in the blood. Because VLN is by far the
most effective agent for lowering triglyceride, I would have been very
surprised in this era of patient choice if a panel of experts wanted it to be out of reach for them.
Unfortunately, aside from on-target pharmacological efficacy, VLN performed very poor in terms of safety and tolerability. Moreover, the trial was too small and ill-designed to tease out real disease benefits such as a lower pancreatitis attack rate and improved quality of life. Not even a trend in favor of VLN could be discerned here.
As a result, the discussion was mostly
centered around what an effective risk mitigation program (REMS) could look like to
prevent dangerous bleeding events caused by the thrombocyte-(= platelet-) suppressing
activity of VLN, the adverse event that was singled out as most concerning.
Unfortunately,
the practical experience with VLN showed that even closely following platelet counts and
stopping VLN administration or adjusting dosing frequency in response to dropping levels are not able to stop
such bleeding risk from continuing. As such,
it is to be expected that VLN will get onto the market without a really
satisfactory REMS and that patients may have to accept the bleeding risk, knowing
that treating physicians will be ready to administer steroids and/or IVIG
should platelets drop to extremely low levels.
Due to thrombocytopenia
and the range of other safety and tolerability issues and safety monitoring
demands, there is a real possibility that VLN will mostly be a placeholder until
safer ApoCIII-lowering alternatives can get approved. In light of what we have learned from
mipomersen and TTR-lowering drug Inotersen, the most negative impact of the VLN
data is probably on the potential of systemically administered phosphorothioate antisense oligos outside
of the liver. While GalNAc for the liver
and potentially GLP-1 peptides for pancreatic beta cells should keep required
ASO levels substantially below the 200-300mg/week dose known to cause the tox
and tolerability issues, the prospect for tissues, including muscle, that
require systemic ASO administrations is less bright.
Having said
that, there could be very simple solutions such as minimal reductions in the extent
of phosphorothioation that miraculously can get rid of most of these side
effects. In the absence of a reliable
animal model system, however, learning the rules in the clinic could take quite a few
more years.
Alnylam announces
CNS aspirations
Another
highlight of the week in Oligonucleotide Therapeutics was Alnylam’scoming out in applying RNAi for gene knockdown in the central nervous system (see presentation here).
While CNS
had been an area of interest of the company in its early days (Huntington’s Disease
collaboration with Medtronic, a Parkinson’s program), the direct intrastriatal injection results and delivery approaches with old RNAi trigger formats were far from promising for clinical translation.
Not surprisingly, CNS had dropped off the corporate radar.
With the lesson
learned from GalNAc-RNAi for the liver, most notably that of the importance of
high chemical stabilization and ligands to maximize both oligonucleotide
concentration and cellular uptake, and the surprisingly broad CNS biodistribution
seen following intrathecal administration of antisense oligonucleotides by Ionis, it was only a matter
of time that companies in the RNAi space would re-visit ‘old tissues’ for RNAi. So with Arrowhead stoking interest in its RNAi efforts in the lung and Alnylam now in the CNS, RNAi is on the cusp of
shedding its perception that it is ‘only for the liver’. And unlike Ionis and Akcea, the RNAi space
has street cred so that the capital markets are likely to buy into those
claims.
To make
matters worse for Ionis, Alnylam is now predicting that (similar to the liver), knockdown with its RNAi molecules should be longer-lived and much better
tolerated than the phosphorotioate competition (from Ionis and Biogen):
'Expect superior potency, duration and systemic safety profile vs. ASOs'
In light of the limited though
promising public data (single rat intrathecal injection of 0.9mg of RNAi
trigger causing substantial, ~75% target gene lowering for at least 1 month,
the latest time point measured), it is too early to decide whether that’s true. More information on this subject should, however, emerge over the next 2 years by
which time Alnylam plans to file its first IND for the CNS.
Arrowhead
highlights cardiovascular pipeline
Arrowhead
Pharmaceuticals seems to have repaired relationships with investors following its DPC Waterloo and is increasingly
getting credit for its GalNAc-based turnaround.
Outside of its lead programs in HBV and AAT-related liver disease, it is
cardiovascular disease indications that are the focus of these efforts.
So at ATVB,
the company presented an update on these programs with a focus on ANGPTL3 for
the treatment of a range of lipid-related abnormalities, especially
hypertriglyceridemia. Of note, first
monkey data showed that the administration of therapeutically relevant 3mg/kg
triggered robust, 80% target gene knockdown lasting for more than 4 weeks.
With INDs/CTAs
planned for both ANGPTL3 and ApoCIII as well as potentially
Lp(a) by partner Amgen anticipated before the end of the year, 2019 promises to be a clinical data-rich year for
RNAi in cardiovascular disease.
Dicerna
kind of pre-announces AAT-deal as investors get ready to sell shares
Much of
what is going on behind the scenes at Dicerna is currently only being reflected
by its SEC filings.
On May 4, large
shareholders who had supported the company throughout its litigation with
Alnylam and now stand to be richly rewarded for it (~5x gain currently) had their
shares registered for sale in an S-3 filing.
These shares account for a whopping roughly half of the shares outstanding.
To bring all
investors up to speed, such a registration necessitates the filing of a prospectus. Interestingly, this document was very
specific in that the company now expects to partner the mystery orphan-disease
candidate it has been talking about for quite some time this quarter:
‘We plan
to seek a risk-sharing collaborator for this program before we file an IND
and/or CTA, which we expect to be prepared to file in the second quarter of
2018.’
The
document also removes any doubt that the secret target of that program is
alpha-1-antitrypsin:
‘The
protein causes progressive liver damage and fibrosis, in some cases leading to
cirrhosis and liver failure, and we believe that silencing of the disease gene
will prevent production of the abnormal protein and thereby slow or stop
progression of the liver fibrosis. Greater than 100,000 people in the United
States (“U.S.”) are believed to be homozygous (i.e. having identical pairs of
genes for any given pair of hereditary characteristics) for the mutation that
causes the liver disease, and at least 20% of those people, and potentially a
significantly higher fraction, are believed to have liver-associated disease as
a consequence.’
So if you
were mesmerized by the stocks recent strong performance on modest volume, here’s a conspiracy
theory: the company is helping supportive investors to get out on a high volume
day that an AAT deal announcement would precipitate. And spending a few bucks to run the shares up
is well worth the investment.
If the events unfolds as I speculate, it is yet another powerful reminder it is not sufficient for investors to merely follow the press releases, but carefully read the regulatory filings, even if they may seem dry and overly long.
Addendum 15May18: on its quarterly conference call, Dicerna clarified its convoluted statement in the prospectus regarding the timing of partnership and IND of the mystery candidate. Accordingly, the candidate will be ready for IND/CTA filing by the end of Q2. An actual filing, however, will have to await a partnership which the company now guides for the second half of this year. Apparently, they are currently in talks with 'more than two' potential partners.
Another focal point of the conference call Q&A session was the rationale behind the single-dose trial with DCR-PHXC for primary hyperoxaluria and how they want to use that as the basis for designing a pivotal registrational, multi-dose trial in 2019. In this regard, contradictory statements were made. On the one hand, the CMO contended that as seen with the more advanced program by Alnylam, most of the oxalate lowering can be seen following a single dose already so the company will have a good idea as to the necessary dose and dosing frequency for the pivotal trial. On the other hand, the CEO predicted that repeat dosing is likely to be necessary to get an idea as to the actual oxalate-lowering potential of a given dose. Here, I side with the CEO, but keep asking myself why on earth are they taking so much scientific and regulatory risk with a single-dose trial?
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