Sunday, July 20, 2014

Fed-Induced Sell-Off Offers Attractive Values in RNA Therapeutics

For whatever reason, Janet Yellen does not like cheerful biotech investors and between her first policy speech as new chairwoman of the Fed in April and comments last week decrying biotech and social media stocks as inflated she caused two major sell-offs in RNA Therapeutics stocks.  As a result, industry bellwethers ISIS Pharmaceuticals and Alnylam are trading at less than half their 52-week highs, though better than ‘second-tier’ RNA Therapeutics companies such as Tekmira and Arrowhead Research which are trading down even more than that.

When the technology has matured to the point that it can bring significant value to patients, pipelines rapidly progress and expand, and with companies flush in cash by historical standards, this sell-off offers in my opinion great risk:rewards.  Here is a run-down of my five favorite plays.

1.       $ISIS. ISIS Pharmaceuticals is my current RNA Therapeutics core holding that I would not want to be out of.  With ligand-targeted technologies offering much lower tissue exposures and therefore much better safety margins, multiple mechanisms of actions and a pipeline that rivals any in the industry, this company is on track to become the most valuable in the industry- if not economy (subject to the vagaries of the healthcare policy directions). 

At a $3B market cap, no foreseeable financing needs, and a healthy newsflow (especially regarding partnerships), the downside should be relatively limited, and I will sleep tight even knowing that Yellen (who seems to confuse the Dow and large cap biotechs with the broad biotech industry) might open her mouth again to talk about something she obviously understands very little about.

Best long-term risk/reward.

2.       $TKMR. Tekmira is the most beaten-up stock of the bunch that gets credit for almost nothing.  This is mainly the result of the Ebola trial results which were a disappointment- little doubt about that.  However, translating these results from the unthankful ‘Haertetest’ to the rest of the pipeline is unwarranted.  This is because a highly most potent knockdown technology for the liver, should be able to carve out some market for itself.  And if the HBV product won’t require transient immune suppression and/or if its use is deemed acceptable in HBV with its expected finite treatment period, there is an enormous opportunity for which the favorable newsflow is only about to heat up with the presentation of the preclinical dataset..

It is the newsflow from new product candidates (esp. HBV)), clinical trial starts (liver cancer, HBV, alcohol dependency), clinical trial results (ALN-TTR02 OLE, TKM-PLK1 interim phase II with little to no expectations by the markets), and business development (mRNA), that makes TKMR an attractive buy at these severely depressed levels ($31 in April, now trading at $9).  And with the Ebola Haertetest on Clinical Hold, TKM-EBOLA does not scare me anymore as an investor.  It even offers a potential near-term catalyst should the Hold be lifted.

Best 6-12 month risk/reward (until release of phase IIa HBV knockdown results).

3.       $RGLS.  I’ve never liked Regulus much as a stock, mainly because of its anemic pipeline that its own management does not even seem to be excited about given that it now calls the potent GalNAc-targeted anti-miR122 product candidate for HCV merely a proof-of-concept for the company.  However, given that the HCV market emerges as one with a long-tail, not all is lost for this pan-genotypic, potentially one or two-shot treatment when used in conjunction with other HCV drugs. 

When HCV-competitor Achillion recently surged on the back of the Merck takeout of HCV play Idenix as it reminded investors of the long-tail nature of the market, Regulus was forgotten.  It may reach investors’ consciousness when they report phase I results possibly early next year.  Solid financials with more than $100M in cash and a reasonable $300M market cap given its prominent position in the microRNA Therapeutics industry.

Speculative buy with regard to single catalyst.

4.       $ARWR. All eyes are on the outcome of the ARC520 phase IIa study in HBV-infected patients which could be announced any day now.  My prediction is a ~80% HBsAg knockdown at the 2mg/kg dose.  My problem is that I have little idea about how the market will respond to that given that the trial is not designed to achieve the ultimate goal for this therapeutic candidate: a functional cure.

Most investors seem to expect an easy double (or more) from current levels, an notion that I do not want to necessarily reject for an 80% knockdown.  It all seems to depend on how the results will be framed by the analysts and how successful the dueling hedge funds are in painting the tape to their advantage. 

With more than 10% of the float short and given ARWR's historical trading pattern, great volatility is a given.

Highly speculative buy, so much so that options may actually be the best way to play it.

5.       $SRPT. No matter the negative market reception to the recent release of the 144-week study results, Sarepta and patients will get their accelerated approval for eteplirsen.  The debate has reached a point that the drug development clock for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy cannot be set back another 5-10 years by rejecting the current class of candidates of which Sarepta’s looks to be the most promising- despite the highly anecdotal nature of the results.  This is because eteplirsen seems amazingly safe, so the potential harm from giving a potentially non-effective medicine is limited.  This is clearly not the case for Prosensa’s exon skipping drug candidate, and don’t even get me started about PTC Therapeutics …

Solid 12-month risk:reward juiced by the large short position (>30%).

Tuesday, July 8, 2014

GalNAc Advance by ISIS Means Oral Oligonucleotide Therapeutics around the Corner

Last week, the long-awaited first publication on ISIS’ GalNAc-targeted antisense oligonucleotides appeared in a ‘NAR Breakthrough Article’ (Prakash et al., 2014)  Living up to that label, the data with RNaseH antisense oligonucleotides (ASOs) conjugated to triantennary GalNAc sugars showed that this strategy increases potency by nearly an order of magnitude.  In combination with high-affinity chemistries (in this case cET) that facilitate the use of short (12-14nt vs ~20nt) oligonucleotides which has been shown to improve in vivo potency (Santaris research by Straarup et al., 2010), oral delivery for antisense modulation of hepatic gene expression has essentially been solved

Moreover, the lower dosages that can now be used in addition to the improved biodistribution profile that is now heavily slanted away from non-hepatocytic cell types in the liver and the kidney in favor of hepatocytes, means that the other major benefit of GalNAc-ASOs with immediate applicability is that the safety of therapeutic ASOs for liver-directed applications will be much improved.

The conclusion that oral antisense therapeutics are just around the corner is based on the observation that a relatively crude caprate-based phosphorothioate oligonucleotide formulation enabled a ~10% bioavailability following oral administration already (intravenous = 100%; Tillman et al., 2008).  This, in addition to some inter-subject variability that might have been linked to gastric emptying times, meant that too much oligonucleotide would have had to be administered orally with previous antisense oligonucleotides. 

Granted, this first piece of GalNAc-ASO literature did not explore oral delivery. The fact, however, that the combined use of GalNAc conjugation with high-affinity chemistry improved parenteral ASO potency by 60-fold is predicted to mean that oral GalNAc-cETs are already more potent (~6x) than subQ-administered 2nd gen ASOs.  These have already produced impressive phase II data for targets such as Factor XI and ApoCIII.

The potency improvement in terms of oral delivery may actually be larger than 60-fold.  This is because oral delivery strategies such as caprate co-formulation which aim at increasing intercellular drug permeability are size dependent.  This means that there should be an added benefit of the smaller oligonucleotide size facilitated by cET chemistry with oral delivery.

Of course, the data leave open some questions.  My most pressing, applicable to both oral and non-oral uses of GalNAc-ASOs is how the rodent data translate into non-human primates and ultimately humans.  This is because for unconjugated phosphorothioate oligonucleotides, the potency on a mg/kg basis improves with the size of the organism.  The discussion above is based on an assumption that GalNAc-targeting will not change that.  I have been unable to make a determination yet as to whether this should hold true or not.

Other than that, the antisense weather forecast is blue skies ahead, though with a chance of thunderstorms in the form of IP skirmishes with their good friends over at Alnylam as they have pioneered GalNAc conjugation in oligonucleotide therapeutics, but may now be ironically penalized for it from a competitive point of view.  Alnylam is not the type of company that just lets competitive threats happen to them.

Friday, July 4, 2014

Implications of Ebola data for Tekmira HBV Program

Like it or not, it is the HBV program that is driving the interest in Tekmira, at least in the near-term.  Therefore, the 15% sell-off in the stock yesterday following the Clinical Hold imposed by the FDA can be interpreted to be due to the uncertainty of what it means for the HBV program.

It is my working hypothesis that for the treatment of HBV via the immune reactivation pathway, the use of even transient immune suppression is to be avoided.  On the other hand, the recent Ebola clinical results by Tekmira suggest that transient immune suppression may also be desirable for 3rd gen SNALP delivery.  As TKM-HBV is expected to utilize '3rd gen' SNALP delivery, too, the Ebola results with immune activation seem like a bad omen.

While this cannot be ignored, there are a few reasons to believe that this might be too simplistic.

1.       Difference in dose

Although there was an apparent tendency for immune stimulation throughout the dose escalation with TKM-EBOLA, it was only at the high dose of 0.5mg/kg where a dose-limiting toxicity was observed. And according the yesterday's press release on the Clinical Hold, it is in particular cytokine elevations that were observed at 'higher doses' that are the issue.  

 Since unlike Ebola, HBV only replicates in hepatocytes, and because SNALP potency is highest in hepatocytes, the efficacious dose for HBV may be well below 0.5mg/kg with 3rd gen formulations.  Of note, even 2nd gen SNALPs are highly effective at 0.3mg/kg based on the Tekmira-enabled ALN-TTR02 candidate now in phase III.

2.       Different sequence, different immune stimulation

It is known (e.g. Judge et al. 2005: Sequence-dependent immune stimulation of the mammalian innate immune response by synthetic siRNAs) that immune stimulation by RNAi, especially when liposomally formulated, is highly dependent on the actual sequence and modification pattern of the RNAi trigger.  Since TKM-EBOLA and TKM-HBV are different in that regard, it is well possible that while one 3rd gen formulation is immunostimulatory, the other is not.

3.       Immunostimulatory by design/by screen

Scientifically, I was most disappointed by the Ebola immune stimulations as Tekmira made a big deal in the wake of similar observation in 2010 with TKM-ApoB that with improved, more predictive immune stimulation assays, they would now be able to screen out the immunostimulatory formulations.  In a black-and-white world you would conclude ‘obviously not!’.

In a world of shades of grey, I can imagine that TKM-EBOLA might have happened to slip through this part of the screening process.  The reason is that since Ebola infects a number of cell types besides hepatocytes (endothelial cells, phagocytes etc), the impressive efficacy of TKM-EBOLA always stood out as something quite unusual.  So while containing the spread of the virus by hitting it particularly hard in the liver might be part of the mechanism, I am quite receptive to the notion that the scientists did not mind all that much some immune stimulation when the RNAi formulation had so much efficacy.
With HBV, however, the company might be much more careful in screening out immunostimulatory potential.

I can now hear Sarepta investors yell ‘it’s an artefact’, but I would caution them that Sarepta and the morpholino field at large is proposing morpholinos with cationic appendices for infectious diseases while these are not really considered for genetic diseases.  What I don’t understand is that why a modification that is supposed to be helpful in e.g. suppressing viral gene expression should not likewise be useful for suppressing human gene expression.  So maybe the value of these modifications is in tickling the immune system?

4.       Not all 3rd gen are created equal

In response to a questioner in the Q1 financial conference call, the CEO of Tekmira said that the definitions of the various SNALP generations is not as clean as you would like from a chemical point-of-view.  Instead, the definition largely is a reflection of the potency improvements of the formulations.  Therefore, since TKM-EBOLA has a different set of target cells than TKM-HBV, it is well possible, even expected, that the formulations will also differ in their lipid compositions.  Since lipids are an amplifier of the liposomal-RNAi immune response, differences therein could have big implications as to the immune stimulation of the various formulations.

Disclosure: I am long Tekmira and only partially heeded my own advice of stepping out of the TKM-Ebola ‘Haertetest’ (trial provided not much upside to investors).  On the other hand, Tekmira has upside potential from a number of non-Ebola programs especially HBV and mRNA delivery.  As the worst case scenario, an outright termination of TKM-EBOLA, is a real risk, it becomes more and more difficult to get the timing right ahead of the upcoming TKM-HBV data.  If, however, you don’t mind volatility and are a long-term investor, it’s another matter.  However, at least for me, Tekmira is not the stock any more to maintain a 100% position in.

Tekmira Ebola Candidate Halted as Disease Spreads in Western Africa

There could not have been a worse timing for the Clinical Halt imposed on Tekmira’s RNAi candidate for the treatment of Ebola viral infection, TKM-EBOLA.  Just as the disease is reaching epidemic proportions in Western Africa (>500 dead), the world’s leading drug candidate for this infection with validation in the most stringent monkey models got stopped in its tracks following concerns by the US FDA regarding its immunostimulatory potential that was evidenced in the single-ascending dose part of the study (discussed here).

Efficacy in monkeys is the best you can hope for in the absence of an actual outbreak such as the current one, so I was hopeful that TKM-EBOLA could become part of the solution, especially by providing an incentive for patients to identify themselves and come to the treatment centers.  It is the prospect of dying surrounded by people in space suits instead of loved ones, and even worse the prospect of being infected by Ebola in the first place from fellow ‘inmates’ if you have been misdiagnosed that keeps people away from the hospitals.  This appears to have been key to the continued spread in addition to cultural practices such as kissing the dead as the WHO likes to emphasize (in my opinion, the condescending attitude by the behind-the-curve, out-of-touch WHO has been the 3rd key factor).

I suggest to mobilize the financial resources to fly in the latest medical equipment and offer patients to be treated with something that might help them survive.

Instead, immune-related side effects such as flu-like symptoms in healthy volunteers made the FDA ask Tekmira to provide additional data and explanations to justify proceeding to the multi-dose ascending part of the study conducted under the Animal Rule regulatory pathway.

In a way, this development might be considered support for those that have said that it is too early to treat patients with TKM-EBOLA, or any other experimental treatment for that matter.  On the other hand, you could also argue that this only shows that it is unethical to test it in human volunteers where the tolerance for side effects is much less than in somebody with a ~70% risk of dying from an infection otherwise.  Just look at the cancer drug development field, and at least in RNAi Therapeutics, I have never seen them tested in healthy volunteers even in phase I, but straight in cancer patients that have little to lose.

In fact, the immune stimulation could be the price to pay for a cure as it might be part of the mechanism of action of TKM-EBOLA either by shutting down viral protein translation and/or by interfering with the virally-induced cytokine storm itself.  These scientific issues, also as it relates to Tekmira’s platform in general, will be discussed in a follow-up post.

Test of Tekmira's credibility

I would like to close with some remarks on the credibility of Tekmira’s management.  

Management did in fact disclose the risk that there might be delays with the phase I study following results from the single-dose part of the study when it said there would be FDA review ahead of the multi-dose part of the study: 'Interim safety data submitted to the FDA for review May 7, 2014.'

Although this could be read as part of the normal regulatory process, the fact that they disclosed it made me believe that this was a real possibility.  The positive spin on the data obviously falls under the Safe Harbor of ‘forward-looking statements’ and no foul play here.  In fact, many biotechs would not even have disclosed the FDA review. 

On the other hand, many investors went along with the positive sentiments by management and will feel disappointed now.  In order to redeem themselves to this constituency, management will now have to prove that they were already prepared for this event and that they can speedily answer the questions and provide the requested data so that the trial may resume asap and that TKM-EBOLA may be offered to those in Western Africa now that it can be considered that the drug has been fully vetted for safety.

Wednesday, July 2, 2014

RNAi Trigger History Revisited as Alnylam Once Again Gets Tough on IP

Last month, Alnylam lectured  Arrowhead Research that they infringed Alnylam's RNAi trigger IP and added that the use of UNAs would not protect companies using them (Tekmira, Arrowhead Research, Marina Biotech, and Arcturus) either.  So as Alnylam is once again trying to intimidate the competition and their investors by claiming that they control RNAi triggers, it might be worth revisiting some RNAi trigger history.  Doing so suggests that in fact they have been one of the egregious infringers of 3rd party IP themselves and raises questions as to their own freedom-to-operate and validity of IP.

Sirna and Silence Therapeutics early proponents of modified RNAi triggers

The early RNAi days were marked by the competition for RNAi trigger supremacy between star-studded start-up Alnylam and working-class Sirna Therapeutics which had just averted bankruptcy following failed attempts with ribozymes.  Silence Therapeutics was another company that had ambitions to cornering important RNAi trigger IP and like Sirna had a history in failed attempts with oligonucleotide therapeutics.

Due to their prior experiences in nucleic acid-based drug development, it came natural to Sirna and Silence to apply nucleic acid modifications and soon earned a head-start in creating IP related to the use of modified RNAi triggers.  The belief was that in order to endow RNAi triggers with pharmaceutical properties, they had to be modified.

Sounds familiar? If so, then it is probably because this has become Alnylam’s new mantra, too.  Of course, this comes with a 12-year delay and only after acquiring Sirna’s IP estate and a history of claiming that they want their RNAi triggers to be as ‘natural’, i.e. unmodified, as possible, not due to IP limitations, but because of superior performance and considering safety.  In fact, Alnylam has not only been infringing Baulcombe IP for a short while, but also Merck/Sirna IP for probably as long as they were starting to see decent in vivo knockdown results with their highly modified GalNAc-siRNAs.

Although this clearly shows that Alnylam’s publicly claimed control over RNAi trigger IP has simply been a mirage, to their credit they make efforts in eventually gaining access to IP they are glaringly lacking.  Also, while at some point and for some delivery strategies the notion of minimally modified RNAi triggers had its merits, the emergence of RNAi trigger conjugates has increased the value of RNAi trigger modifications.  One might also criticize companies like Sirna/Merck, Silence, and RXi Pharmaceuticals (one of the first practical adopters of highly modified RNAi triggers and conjugates) for standing still instead of developing their initial technologies to their logical conclusion.

A comeback for AtuRNAi triggers?

Silence Therapeutics left a lot of value on the table by limiting themselves to a modification pattern that involves alternating 2’-O-methyls with a 2’-O-methyl-modified base on one strand opposing an unmodified base on the other like in a zipper.  One reason for this limitation was that during patent prosecution, the attempt by Silence Therapeutics to get patents related to modification patterns in general and not limited to 2’-O-methyls failed.

Interestingly, the RNAi triggers in ARC520 that Alnylam lays claim on involve a modification pattern reminiscent of AtuRNAi, only that it is here 2’-fluoro that is the alternating modification (Wooddell et al. 2013).  Also, if you review Alnylam’s recent patent applications (e.g. WO2014089313), alternating 2’-fluoros seems to be Alnylam’s preferred modification pattern, too.  Could it be that these companies were inspired by AtuRNAi trigger design?   

In any case, AtuRNAi and Silence may hold the key to invalidating some troublesome modified RNAi trigger IP by Alnylam by rendering them obvious.  Even more exciting for Silence, albeit unlikely given that the opportunity may have passed is the prospect that Silence could revive some of the more general RNAi modification pattern claims, thereby affecting the freedom-to-operate by Alnylam (and Arrowhead Research).

And welcome to Amy Shuman, former general counsel of Pfizer, to the Board of Directors of Alnylam.

Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Leveraging New RNAi Trigger Chemistries for Gene Knockdown in Phagocytic (and Other) Cells

Much of the achievement of solid RNAi gene knockdowns in hepatocytes (liver) by non-LNP means (Arrowhead DPCs and Alnylam’s 2nd gen GalNAc-siRNAs) has involved the use of heavy modifications that render the RNAi triggers highly stable. This is because nucleic acids that are not protected by the delivery chemistry itself would otherwise be subject to rapid degradation in extracellular body fluids.

In the case of Alnylam’s GalNAcs, they can even function in the absence of an explicit endosomal release chemistry.  Moreover, GalNAcs and DPCs have shown more sustained gene knockdowns than is achieved with LNP delivery which historically has relied on minimally modified RNAi triggers. 
All that is required is receptor-mediated uptake into the endosomal-lysosomal pathway which is an immensely degradative environment (esp. the lysosomes).

Considering the extended duration of silencing and degradative environment, it seems as if the RNAi triggers have to be able to survive for long enough in late endosomes/lysosomes so that when they get an opportunity to escape by as yet undefined mechanism(s), they are still there ready for gene silencing action.

Such chemistry progress may also be particularly useful for RNAi gene silencing in phagocytic cells of the immune system.  This is because there have been multiple reports, especially concerning the use of LNPs (e.g. Novobrantseva et al.)  where some, but not the very robust, hepatocyte-type of gene knockdown have been obtained.  It is the ability to confidently achieve robust knockdowns that opens the gate to a flood of therapeutic applications, and this is why pushing borderline-technologies over the edge is so tremendously valuable.

Uptake into phacocytes is usually not the problem as these have evolved to scavenge for foreign particles and macromolecules.  In fact, phagocytic uptake is often a nuisance in RNAi delivery both because it may cause off-target toxicity and because it can make pharmacology less predictable.

In the case of untargeted nanoparticles such as LNPs, phagocytosis is the likely uptake mechanism.  Similar to endosomal uptake, phagosomal uptake involves the fusion with lysosomal compartments meaning that phagosomal contents are also exposed to a highly hostile environment.  Since the normal endosomal escape chemistries and mechanisms do not appear to be very effective in phagosomes, one strategy besides of possibly tailoring existing mechanisms to the phagosomal environment (e.g. lipid pKas) is to simply use the same ultra-stable RNAi trigger chemistries that are showing promise in the liver.

It is also possible that ligand-targeted conjugate approaches will be useful here, whether they enter the cells via phagocytic mechanisms or not.  In fact, Arrowhead Research (then Mirus Bio) in their seminal publication on DPCs (Rozema et al.) have demonstrated efficient uptake of DPC-conjugates into liver phagocytes (Kupffer cells) by using mannose as the targeting ligand (they haven’t tested and/or shown the corresponding RNAi knockdown though and this may relate to their using much less nucleic acid modification back in 2007). 

Since the mannose receptor is expressed on phagocytes throughout the body and not just in the liver, more extended circulation times promises the application of this conjugate-targeting strategy more generally.

Similar principles may apply to the targeting of other ‘frontier tissues’ for RNAi delivery.  However, given the degradative and differing nature of phagocytosis which means that other release mechanisms are not readily applied to this process, RNAi in phagocytes should particularly benefit from the new RNAi trigger chemistry developments.  I look forward to seeing the results.

Friday, June 27, 2014

ISIS Pharmaceutical Reveals Dynamic PolyConjugate Efforts

When Arrowhead Research made a splash 1 ½ years ago at the Boston OTS meeting in late October 2012 with impressive subQ DPC knockdown efficacy in monkeys, there was a large number of meeting participants crowding the speaker after his presentation.  Although I sat a few rows away, the most eager questioner was an employee from ISIS Pharmaceuticals who managed to beat the Merck representative to the podium!

There were times when I believed that the interest of large companies in the technology of small companies boded well for partnership potential.  It has become clear to me, however, that while this may be true to some extent, the first instinct by the large guys is to get close to the innovators so that they can appropriate as much of the technology as possible without paying a dime.

While I have long shelved Merck into that category and DPCs will now be a research priority at Alnylam following their acquisition of Sirna/Merck, a now published patent application by ISIS Pharmaceuticals on melittin-based, GalNAc-targeted single-stranded antisense delivery (ssRNAi and conventional ASO) demonstrates that ISIS ticks no different.

With a priority date of WO 2014/089146 A1 of December 4, 2012, this poor employee and collaborating patent agent had to stitch together a patent application in just a month after returning home from the conference.  Unsurprisingly, the patent application lacks any actual experimental data to support the '√≠nvention'.

I don’t want to be too cynical about this as this is how the industry and the patent system function.  It is an important lesson for small companies though that they should not get overly excited about interest they generate for their technology and they should only engage in deeper relationships once they have established that the larger party is not just trying to steal their technology by pretending to collaborate with them.

It is this unwillingness to share and attendant mistrust that in my experience impedes much business development that makes great sense on paper.  This ultimately delays timelines, leads to litigation, and makes the pie smaller for everybody.

And for the future of gene knockdown in the liver…if ~5mg per week may be possible for GalNAc-targeted gen 2.5 RNaseH ASOs, one can only wonder what a melittin-type escape mechanism would add to its potency, and safety. 

Comment on Seeking Alpha bear article on ISIS Pharmaceuticals

Last night, a detailed bear article on ISIS came out that shook the market in after-hours trading.  In summary, the thesis rests on the poor safety profile, especially immunogenicity of gen 2.0-based KYNAMRO (2’MOE gapmer) and that this is likely to translate to all other gen 2.0 drugs based on shared chemical composition and the (in my opinion idiotic) claim by the CEO of ISIS that KYNAMRO is a success and is representative for gen 2.0.  Talk about shooting yourself in the foot.

While I agree that the KYNAMRO data have raised legitimate questions around the safety of gen 2.0 phosphorothioate oligonucleotides, the bear article conveniently ignores the abundant clinical data that have emerged since for a number of other antisense drugs based on gen 2.0 chemistry.  These support the claim by ISIS that through improved screening, they are now able to better weed out the sequences that will likely prove immunogenic in the clinic. 

Importantly, in oligonucleotide therapeutics in general, while nucleic acid chemistry has a great influence on whether a molecule is immunogenic, it is the exact sequence composition that ultimately decides whether this is actually the case.

This is illustrated by the recent phase II clinical results for ApoCIII (no discontinuations noted), Factor XI, and GCGR.  Not only were robust gene knockdowns achieved, in sharp contrast to KYNAMRO, the company claimed that they were no flu-like symptoms, chills and other symptoms indicative of the immunostimulatory potential of oligonucleotides.  By contrast, about 1/3 in the KYNAMRO studies exhibited such events, with even higher numbers in the open-label extension phase.

Granted, given that these were 13-week studies, it is impossible to disprove the thesis that things are bound to get worse over the long-run.  However, no flu-like symptoms versus 1/3 of patients exhibiting flu-like symptoms in studies of comparable duration is a dramatic difference and allows one to extrapolate that the safety of the follow-on drugs will similarly be greatly superior to KYNAMRO over time.

While I had been tempted to let the Seeking Alpha article by Dr. Anonymous pass as raising legitimate concerns, the blatant failure to mention the more recent experience with gen 2.0 and the after-hours action last night makes this article suspect and outright useless given the lack of new information or insight.
By Dirk Haussecker. All rights reserved.

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